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Auto Business Outlook | Thursday, August 07, 2025
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FREMONT, CA: As electrification and connection technology accelerate in 2023, the automotive sector is seeing massive business model shifts. The shifts create severe competition that undermines brand strategies and tremendous new potential for OEMs and new brands. New brands are rising in value faster than existing brands. Due to changing mobility, drivetrain, model type, customer and regulatory landscapes, and new technology requirements, the industry and brands are at an inflection point. Sales and values have increased, showing resiliency. Innovation, investment, and customer demand are all rising. Despite difficulties, the industry is optimistic. EVs require different technologies and parts than ICE vehicles, which will change the auto components brands' focus.
Truck brand values have had a mixed year, with modest signs of improvement. Despite rising demand, the zero-emissions shift haunts the sector. Leading emission reductions are zero-emission, hydrogen fuel-cell, and electric battery technology will get needed, and the investment would need to be significant. Trucks have many of the same difficulties as passenger vehicle companies, including the lack of charge points, electric powertrain innovation, and the need for enhanced connectivity and driver support, but they also demand more investment. As risk-sharing and liability issues get resolved, OEMs can gradually go from driver assistance to high and full automation.
Offering zero-emissions trucks at premium rates, but costs will need to fall for broader adoption, and as with passenger vehicles, brands will differentiate on driving technology. When considering EV growth, ICE performance should get regarded. Many expect EVs to have higher lifetime mileage, survive longer, and keep their value. As more consumers pay off their cars over an extended period, financing revenue may rise. Still, it may also lower sales and increase reliance on services to make up the difference. According to Mckinsey Mobility Centre, engines, transmissions, and fuel injection systems will shrink from 26 percent of the market size (by value) in 2019 to 11 percent in 2030.
Add-ons and software subscriptions will become more crucial in tech-based business strategies. Tesla's "full self-driving" add-on costs US$10,000, but CEO Elon Musk indicates that it might eventually be worth US$100,000, more than the original car, and be paid for under a subscription basis. This form of innovation has excellent value but requires tremendous investment and ingenuity. Autonomous driving follows naturally. It's becoming evident that tiny steps will lead to autonomous driving, not moonshot expenditures like Uber, Google, and Apple, which still lack a commercial case. Emerging components, including hybrid transmissions, batteries, head-up displays, and interiors, are predicted to increase the total value, driving "stable" features.
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